Section 5

Integrated decision doctrine for TCE

Each gate pairs the Board question with the evidence or metrics it requires and the red flag that should stop or reshape the commitment.

1. Resilience gate

Is the commitment system-critical, hard to recreate, long-duration or irreversible? What specified failure mode is being mitigated?

Evidence / metrics

Expected loss avoided; recovery time; substitutability; correlated dependency; option value; lifecycle cost.

Red flag

Reject generic resilience premiums without an activation pathway or sunset rule.

2. Connected-capacity test

What is the single binding constraint preventing the asset/right from becoming productive capacity?

Evidence / metrics

Grid/power; water/cooling; ports/logistics; materials; skills; planning; insurance; data; consent.

Red flag

Do not acquire/lease on the assumption that scarcity alone guarantees value.

3. Climate-viability pathway

Can the asset system remain usable, financeable/insurable and legitimate under multiple physical-risk pathways?

Evidence / metrics

Protect/adapt/repurpose/transform/managed-exit; service standards; adaptation capex; trigger metrics.

Red flag

Do not assume indefinite protection is the default.

4. Human-capability condition

Does the programme depend on scarce skills, participation, accessibility or local social capacity?

Evidence / metrics

Training-to-job conversion; hard-to-fill roles; accessibility; repeat use; workforce/partner commitments. Healthy-life participation; learning access by target group; non-financial outcome causality.

Red flag

Do not count training or engagement inputs as outcomes.

5. Multifunctional land/sea account

Which functions are created, protected or displaced?

Evidence / metrics

Food; biodiversity; water; carbon; energy; adaptation; livelihoods; access/community; reversibility.

Red flag

No “stacked value” claim without separate baselines and displaced-use disclosure.

6. Institutional additionality

Why is TCE the institution that should act, and what changes because it acts?

Evidence / metrics

Distinctive rights/assets; capacity created; partner crowd-in; decision speed; recovery/coordination gain.

Red flag

Do not confuse bottleneck control or convening activity with public value.

7. Role boundary

Should TCE lead, invest, convene or decline? Who owns authority and what is the transfer/exit condition?

Evidence / metrics

Mandate basis; decision rights; public partner; challenge route; transfer milestone; stop/scale trigger. Three-ledger view: commercial performance; system additionality; public/legitimacy value.

Red flag

Decline functions requiring taxation, regulation, compulsory allocation, redistribution or permanent subsidy without explicit public authority. Do not collapse the three ledgers into one composite score.